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Prediction market volume could soar to $10 trillion per year by 2035, compounding at a staggering annual rate of 70%, according to new research by Bernstein analysts.
Analyst Gautam Chhugani and team are forecasting $410 billion in yes/no exchange turnover this year, implying that if the $10 trillion estimate proves accurate, it’d represent a more than twentyfold increase from the 2026 tally.
The $10 trillion forecast also implies significant growth in just five years from what previously stood as some of the most optimistic 2030 projections. In April, Bernstein estimated prediction market volume will ascend to $1 trillion by 2030 while Bank of America said prediction markets will eventually grow to $1.1 trillion in yearly turnover. A July report from Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon included a $1.5 trillion annual volume forecast by 2030.
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Each Supreme Court term begins on the first Monday in October and runs through late June or early July. The court typically receives about 7,000-8,000 writ petitions and grants about 80, or 1%, each term. Four of the nine sitting justices must vote to accept a case. Five current justices – Chief Justice John Roberts and Justices Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Elena Kagan, Neil Gorsuch and Sonia Sotomayor – were on the bench in 2018 for the PASPA case.
There are no SCOTUS-prediction market contracts currently on Kalshi but Polymarket lists a 41% probability that the court will accept an event contract case by 31 December.
A hearing before the Supreme Court would be the culmination of what has been the biggest sports betting-related development since PASPA. Perhaps no other issue has united gaming stakeholders from various companies, tribes, states and regulators.
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The release also underlines how the studio is scaling. The new game becomes part of a portfolio of more than 200 classic online slots built on transparent mechanics, quality mathematics, and well-balanced gameplay. That count marks steady growth for a provider that was founded in 2021 and now leans on volume and reliability as its core pitch.
Distribution reinforces why the recurring format matters commercially. 1spin4win’s content is available through a growing network of more than 1,000 casino partners worldwide, including 1xBet and RocketPlay.
Art director Olga Bogdanova framed the release around atmosphere and its new mechanic, describing it as “our new event-themed slot with the Plus Coin mechanic.” The wording fits the broader pattern. A familiar celebration, iterated with a fresh feature, dropped into the calendar slot the studio reserves for it every year.